← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3938029
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?
21.5% implied · bid 21.0¢ · ask 22.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 24.0%, up 7.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability24.0%
Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 21.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.7%)
Change 24h+7.50pt
Change 7d+2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$79 / $263
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 40 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.89
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d1.42pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 20h.
Time to resolve25d 20h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%