← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3938031
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August?
17.0% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 19.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability17.0%
Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 19.0¢ / 17.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (23.5%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$40
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9 / $4
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.12
RSI (14, hourly)57.1
Realized vol 7d1.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 24d 19h.
Time to resolve24d 19h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%