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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?

6.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 8.0¢

The market prices this at 6.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%

Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 6.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (46.2%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7d-43.50pt

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$515

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$122 / $54

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score35.1 / 100

RSI 48 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.06

RSI (14, hourly)47.6

Realized vol 7d2.00pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 7d 6h.

Time to resolve7d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%