← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3953548
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?
11.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.7%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d-38.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 40% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$419
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$181 / $53
Imbalance40% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 57 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.71
RSI (14, hourly)56.5
Realized vol 7d3.86pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 9d 6h.
Time to resolve9d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%