Refacto TerminalPolymarket
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3953597

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4?

99.9% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.9%, up 5.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.9%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 99.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+4.95pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$222,105
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)10
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 56 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.27
RSI (14, hourly)56.3
Realized vol 7d4.08pt
Change 1h+4.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Order book unavailable.