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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3953599

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?

0.4% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.1¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.4%, down 72.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.1¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h-72.45pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$297,822
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)14
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 21 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.35
RSI (14, hourly)20.6
Realized vol 7d6.61pt
Change 1h-4.45pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Order book unavailable.