← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3956904
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
6.0% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 7.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (33.3%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$340
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$527 / $55
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.09
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d1.47pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 10d 6h.
Time to resolve10d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%