← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3956905
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?
10.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
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The market prices this at 12.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$147
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$296 / $117
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.59
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d4.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 17d 6h.
Time to resolve17d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%