← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3965788

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?

17.5% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 18.0¢

The market prices this at 18.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability18.0%

Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (5.7%)

Change 24h+4.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,369

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$530 / $489

Imbalance11% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.5 / 100

RSI 83 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.29

RSI (14, hourly)83.3

Realized vol 7d2.73pt

Change 1h-1.00pt

Resolves in 3d 23h.

Time to resolve3d 23h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%