← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3975503
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 5?
53.5% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 55.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 57.0%, up 32.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability57.0%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 53.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (5.6%)
Change 24h+32.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 38/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$695
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,702 / $3,808
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score38.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 69 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.74
RSI (14, hourly)68.5
Realized vol 7d6.13pt
Change 1h-4.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 23h.
Time to resolve0d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%