Refacto TerminalPolymarket
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3975505

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 5?

40.1% implied · bid 37.9¢ · ask 42.2¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 37.4%, up 9.9pt over 24h, on a 4.3¢ spread.

Implied probability37.4%
Bid / ask / mid37.9¢ / 42.2¢ / 40.1¢
Spread4.3¢ (10.7%)
Change 24h+9.90pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 29/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,644
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$661 / $308
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score29.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.90
RSI (14, hourly)52.6
Realized vol 7d9.33pt
Change 1h+22.90pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 23h.

Time to resolve0d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth