Refacto TerminalPolymarket
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3975520

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 5?

99.8% implied · bid 99.7¢ · ask 99.8¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.8%, up 0.8pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.8%
Bid / ask / mid99.7¢ / 99.8¢ / 99.8¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+0.80pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 77/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 44% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$22,186
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,099 / $38,924
Imbalance44% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score76.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 58 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.05
RSI (14, hourly)58.1
Realized vol 7d4.19pt
Change 1h+0.55pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 23h.

Time to resolve0d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth