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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3975707

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-04?

78.5% implied · bid 78.0¢ · ask 79.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 78.0%, up 19.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability78.0%
Bid / ask / mid78.0¢ / 79.0¢ / 78.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+19.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 33% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$84,725
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,542 / $2,447
Imbalance33% bid
Large trades (>$1k)9
Liquidity score47.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 88 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.59
RSI (14, hourly)87.5
Realized vol 7d2.72pt
Change 1h+19.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth