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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4003912

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 6?

8.1% implied · bid 7.1¢ · ask 9.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.1%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.9¢ spread.

Implied probability6.1%
Bid / ask / mid7.1¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.1¢
Spread1.9¢ (23.6%)
Change 24h-1.95pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$775
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$142 / $10
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 51 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.62
RSI (14, hourly)50.6
Realized vol 7d8.29pt
Change 1h-5.55pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 22h.

Time to resolve1d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth