← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4003912
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 6?
8.1% implied · bid 7.1¢ · ask 9.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.1%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.9¢ spread.
Implied probability6.1%
Bid / ask / mid7.1¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.1¢
Spread1.9¢ (23.6%)
Change 24h-1.95pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$775
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$142 / $10
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 51 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.62
RSI (14, hourly)50.6
Realized vol 7d8.29pt
Change 1h-5.55pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1d 22h.
Time to resolve1d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%