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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4003914

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 6?

49.0% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 51.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 22.0%, up 29.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability22.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 51.0¢ / 49.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (8.2%)
Change 24h+29.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 30% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$400
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$237 / $759
Imbalance30% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 63 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.80
RSI (14, hourly)62.8
Realized vol 7d8.87pt
Change 1h-2.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 22h.

Time to resolve1d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth