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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4003916

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 6?

37.5% implied · bid 36.0¢ · ask 39.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 38.0%, up 7.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability38.0%
Bid / ask / mid36.0¢ / 39.0¢ / 37.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h+7.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 42% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$120
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,908 / $2,206
Imbalance42% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score37.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.07
RSI (14, hourly)52.7
Realized vol 7d12.42pt
Change 1h+17.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 23h.

Time to resolve1d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth