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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4003918

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 6?

4.9% implied · bid 4.1¢ · ask 5.6¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 4.9%, down 16.8pt over 24h, on a 1.5¢ spread.

Implied probability4.9%
Bid / ask / mid4.1¢ / 5.6¢ / 4.9¢
Spread1.5¢ (30.9%)
Change 24h-16.75pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,709
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$268 / $319
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 28 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.73
RSI (14, hourly)28.2
Realized vol 7d15.43pt
Change 1h+2.25pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 23h.

Time to resolve1d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth