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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4003936

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 6?

99.4% implied · bid 98.8¢ · ask 99.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.8%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.8%
Bid / ask / mid98.8¢ / 99.9¢ / 99.4¢
Spread1.1¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$1,446
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,377 / $78
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score48.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.53
RSI (14, hourly)57.1
Realized vol 7d0.26pt
Change 1h-0.15pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 22h.

Time to resolve1d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth