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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4003938

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 6?

99.4% implied · bid 98.8¢ · ask 99.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.8%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability98.8%
Bid / ask / mid98.8¢ / 99.9¢ / 99.4¢
Spread1.1¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 55% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$4,125
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12,397 / $22,992
Imbalance55% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score62.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 65 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.68
RSI (14, hourly)64.7
Realized vol 7d0.30pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 22h.

Time to resolve1d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth