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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4003943

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 6?

99.6% implied · bid 99.5¢ · ask 99.6¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.5%, up 0.9pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.5%
Bid / ask / mid99.5¢ / 99.6¢ / 99.6¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+0.90pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 72/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 31% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,196
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,308 / $37,984
Imbalance31% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score71.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.55
RSI (14, hourly)53.4
Realized vol 7d1.42pt
Change 1h+0.80pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 23h.

Time to resolve1d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth