← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4016616
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6?
4.3% implied · bid 3.9¢ · ask 4.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.1%, down 34.7pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability5.1%
Bid / ask / mid3.9¢ / 4.8¢ / 4.3¢
Spread0.9¢ (20.7%)
Change 24h-34.65pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$43,783
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,185 / $1,483
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)7
Liquidity score46.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 22 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.61
RSI (14, hourly)21.8
Realized vol 7d6.11pt
Change 1h+1.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 11h.
Time to resolve2d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%