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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4016616

Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6?

4.3% implied · bid 3.9¢ · ask 4.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 5.1%, down 34.7pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability5.1%
Bid / ask / mid3.9¢ / 4.8¢ / 4.3¢
Spread0.9¢ (20.7%)
Change 24h-34.65pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$43,783
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,185 / $1,483
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)7
Liquidity score46.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 22 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.61
RSI (14, hourly)21.8
Realized vol 7d6.11pt
Change 1h+1.15pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2d 11h.

Time to resolve2d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth