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Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6?

5.0% implied · bid 4.2¢ · ask 5.8¢

The market prices this at 5.6%, down 1.4pt over 24h, on a 1.6¢ spread.

Implied probability5.6%

Bid / ask / mid4.2¢ / 5.8¢ / 5.0¢

Spread1.6¢ (32.0%)

Change 24h-1.35pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$30,203

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$191 / $887

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score42.5 / 100

RSI 47 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.56

RSI (14, hourly)46.6

Realized vol 7d5.67pt

Change 1h-6.05pt

Resolves in 2d 11h.

Time to resolve2d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%