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Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?

1.5% implied · bid 1.2¢ · ask 1.7¢

The market prices this at 2.6%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability2.6%

Bid / ask / mid1.2¢ / 1.7¢ / 1.5¢

Spread0.5¢ (34.5%)

Change 24h-0.85pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$18,512

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$104 / $515

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score47.8 / 100

RSI 41 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.17

RSI (14, hourly)40.7

Realized vol 7d5.50pt

Change 1h-1.45pt

Resolves in 2d 11h.

Time to resolve2d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%