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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4034658

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 7?

99.6% implied · bid 99.4¢ · ask 99.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.4%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability99.4%
Bid / ask / mid99.4¢ / 99.8¢ / 99.6¢
Spread0.4¢ (0.4%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 72% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$167
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,821 / $10,806
Imbalance72% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score60.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.22
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d6.94pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2d 23h.

Time to resolve2d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth