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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4034663

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 7?

99.2% implied · bid 99.1¢ · ask 99.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability98.0%
Bid / ask / mid99.1¢ / 99.2¢ / 99.2¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+0.95pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 79/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 37% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,387
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,816 / $46,006
Imbalance37% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score79.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.95
RSI (14, hourly)56.8
Realized vol 7d5.77pt
Change 1h+1.20pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2d 23h.

Time to resolve2d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth