← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4035094

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?

47.5% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 48.0¢

The market prices this at 47.0%, up 7.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability47.0%

Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 47.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)

Change 24h+7.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$28,935

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$559 / $938

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score45.7 / 100

RSI 70 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.15

RSI (14, hourly)70.1

Realized vol 7d3.58pt

Change 1h+4.00pt

Resolves in 0d 22h.

Time to resolve0d 22h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%