← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4035097

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?

45.0% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 46.0¢

The market prices this at 46.0%, up 10.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability46.0%

Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 46.0¢ / 45.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (4.4%)

Change 24h+10.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$23,758

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$505 / $472

Imbalance8% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.5 / 100

RSI 58 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.06

RSI (14, hourly)57.6

Realized vol 7d2.09pt

Change 1h-3.00pt

Resolves in 0d 23h.

Time to resolve0d 23h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%