← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4035098
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
5.3% implied · bid 5.3¢ · ask 5.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.4%, down 11.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability6.4%
Bid / ask / mid5.3¢ / 5.4¢ / 5.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.9%)
Change 24h-11.15pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$26,163
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$350 / $360
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 41 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.70
RSI (14, hourly)41.3
Realized vol 7d1.73pt
Change 1h-1.95pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 22h.
Time to resolve0d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%