← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4035099

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?

0.5% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.6¢

The market prices this at 0.6%, down 2.9pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.6%

Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.5¢

Spread0.1¢ (18.2%)

Change 24h-2.90pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$23,736

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$21 / $119

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.6 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.61

RSI (14, hourly)32.7

Realized vol 7d0.46pt

Change 1h-0.60pt

Resolves in 0d 22h.

Time to resolve0d 22h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%