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Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?

57.5% implied · bid 57.0¢ · ask 58.0¢

The market prices this at 52.0%, up 12.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability52.0%

Bid / ask / mid57.0¢ / 58.0¢ / 57.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)

Change 24h+12.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,883

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$261 / $1,263

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.8 / 100

RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.03

RSI (14, hourly)75.0

Realized vol 7d2.38pt

Change 1h+1.50pt

Resolves in 22d 6h.

Time to resolve22d 6h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%