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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4045053

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

100.0% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.9%, up 67.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.9%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 100.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+66.95pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$288,590
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,047,836 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)24
Liquidity score99.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 96 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 6.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean6.52
RSI (14, hourly)96.1
Realized vol 7d3.93pt
Change 1h+33.95pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 3h.

Time to resolve0d 3h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth