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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4045068

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

50.5% implied · bid 48.0¢ · ask 53.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 50.5%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability50.5%
Bid / ask / mid48.0¢ / 53.0¢ / 50.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (9.9%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 27/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,432 / $2,259
Imbalance34% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score26.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.23
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 7h.

Time to resolve0d 7h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth