← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4050690

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?

13.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 14.0¢

The market prices this at 14.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability14.0%

Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (7.4%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$485

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$785 / $325

Imbalance12% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.6 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.13

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d2.11pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 6d 23h.

Time to resolve6d 23h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%