← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4050692
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
17.5% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 18.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability18.0%
Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.7%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,536
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$697 / $442
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 51 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.38
RSI (14, hourly)50.8
Realized vol 7d4.88pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 23h.
Time to resolve6d 23h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%