← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4050697
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
13.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 14.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,464
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$688 / $255
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.28
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.53pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 23h.
Time to resolve6d 23h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%