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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4052415

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?

8.5% implied · bid 8.3¢ · ask 8.7¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 8.5%, down 3.7pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability8.5%
Bid / ask / mid8.3¢ / 8.7¢ / 8.5¢
Spread0.4¢ (4.7%)
Change 24h-3.75pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$71,764
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,575 / $1,715
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)8
Liquidity score49.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 30 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.08
RSI (14, hourly)29.8
Realized vol 7d4.84pt
Change 1h+0.25pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 26d 10h.

Time to resolve26d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth