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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4052419

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?

48.5% implied · bid 48.0¢ · ask 49.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 49.0%, down 18.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability49.0%
Bid / ask / mid48.0¢ / 49.0¢ / 48.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h-18.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$84,636
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,614 / $13,338
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)10
Liquidity score56.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.48
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d3.55pt
Change 1h+5.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 26d 11h.

Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth