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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4052420

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?

66.5% implied · bid 66.0¢ · ask 67.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 67.0%, down 20.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability67.0%
Bid / ask / mid66.0¢ / 67.0¢ / 66.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h-20.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 36% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$119,702
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,819 / $22,575
Imbalance36% bid
Large trades (>$1k)13
Liquidity score61.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.47
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d3.89pt
Change 1h+5.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 26d 11h.

Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth