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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4052423

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?

53.5% implied · bid 53.0¢ · ask 54.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 55.0%, up 12.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability55.0%
Bid / ask / mid53.0¢ / 54.0¢ / 53.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.9%)
Change 24h+12.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 38% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$77,739
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,983 / $10,575
Imbalance38% bid
Large trades (>$1k)11
Liquidity score58.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.77
RSI (14, hourly)60.3
Realized vol 7d3.40pt
Change 1h-6.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 26d 11h.

Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth