← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4054725
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?
98.9% implied · bid 97.9¢ · ask 99.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.4%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 1.9¢ spread.
Implied probability99.4%
Bid / ask / mid97.9¢ / 99.8¢ / 98.9¢
Spread1.9¢ (1.9%)
Change 24h-0.95pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 57% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$3,698
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$487 / $5,205
Imbalance57% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score43.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 32 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.62
RSI (14, hourly)31.8
Realized vol 7d4.62pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 7h.
Time to resolve21d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%