← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4060919

Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

9.7% implied · bid 8.8¢ · ask 10.6¢

The market prices this at 8.8%, down 4.8pt over 24h, on a 1.8¢ spread.

Implied probability8.8%

Bid / ask / mid8.8¢ / 10.6¢ / 9.7¢

Spread1.8¢ (18.6%)

Change 24h-4.85pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,614

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$199 / $364

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score41.3 / 100

RSI 31 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.47

RSI (14, hourly)31.3

Realized vol 7d3.58pt

Change 1h-0.35pt

Resolves in 298d 5h.

Time to resolve298d 5h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%