← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4060946
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?
15.1% implied · bid 14.6¢ · ask 15.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.5%, up 14.6pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.5%
Bid / ask / mid14.6¢ / 15.6¢ / 15.1¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.6%)
Change 24h+14.65pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,454
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$104 / $3
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 58 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.97
RSI (14, hourly)57.7
Realized vol 7d5.52pt
Change 1h+0.90pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3d 7h.
Time to resolve3d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%