← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4060948
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?
25.1% implied · bid 25.0¢ · ask 25.1¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 25.0%, up 24.6pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid25.0¢ / 25.1¢ / 25.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.4%)
Change 24h+24.60pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$7,904
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,004 / $335
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.03
RSI (14, hourly)66.5
Realized vol 7d4.92pt
Change 1h-1.80pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 5d 7h.
Time to resolve5d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%