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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4061220

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8?

98.5% implied · bid 98.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability98.0%
Bid / ask / mid98.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 98.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.0%)
Change 24h+1.55pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 76/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,609
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,507 / $54,410
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score76.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.11
RSI (14, hourly)52.7
Realized vol 7d1.41pt
Change 1h+1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3d 22h.

Time to resolve3d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth