← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4080252

Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?

54.0% implied · bid 53.0¢ · ask 55.0¢

The market prices this at 55.0%, down 7.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability55.0%

Bid / ask / mid53.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 54.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (3.7%)

Change 24h-7.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,616

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,222 / $1,768

Imbalance34% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score42.0 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.86

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d4.87pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3d 11h.

Time to resolve3d 11h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%