← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4080253
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
82.0% implied · bid 81.0¢ · ask 83.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 81.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability81.0%
Bid / ask / mid81.0¢ / 83.0¢ / 82.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 31% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,514
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,344 / $3,627
Imbalance31% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.17
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d3.35pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 11h.
Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%