← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4080254

Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?

86.5% implied · bid 86.0¢ · ask 87.0¢

The market prices this at 87.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability87.0%

Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 87.0¢ / 86.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 61% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$11,145

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,399 / $3,618

Imbalance61% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score49.0 / 100

RSI 45 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.42

RSI (14, hourly)45.5

Realized vol 7d4.45pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 10d 11h.

Time to resolve10d 11h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%