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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4082026

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?

20.5% implied · bid 19.0¢ · ask 22.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 22.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability22.0%
Bid / ask / mid19.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 20.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (14.6%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,014
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28 / $26
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.34
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d6.40pt
Change 1h-5.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 46d 6h.

Time to resolve46d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth