← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4096522
Over $7.5M committed to the Ethos public sale?
99.6% implied · bid 99.3¢ · ask 99.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.0%, up 66.1pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability96.0%
Bid / ask / mid99.3¢ / 99.9¢ / 99.6¢
Spread0.6¢ (0.6%)
Change 24h+66.10pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 59% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$11,245
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$76 / $387
Imbalance59% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 82 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean4.48
RSI (14, hourly)81.8
Realized vol 7d6.70pt
Change 1h+38.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 4d 11h.
Time to resolve4d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%