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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4096522

Over $7.5M committed to the Ethos public sale?

99.6% implied · bid 99.3¢ · ask 99.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 96.0%, up 66.1pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability96.0%
Bid / ask / mid99.3¢ / 99.9¢ / 99.6¢
Spread0.6¢ (0.6%)
Change 24h+66.10pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 59% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$11,245
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$76 / $387
Imbalance59% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 82 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.48
RSI (14, hourly)81.8
Realized vol 7d6.70pt
Change 1h+38.10pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4d 11h.

Time to resolve4d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth