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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 4096530

Over $20M committed to the Ethos public sale?

1.9% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 3.7¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.8%, down 19.8pt over 24h, on a 3.5¢ spread.

Implied probability1.8%
Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 3.7¢ / 1.9¢
Spread3.5¢ (179.5%)
Change 24h-19.80pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 33/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,351
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $3
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score32.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.96
RSI (14, hourly)33.0
Realized vol 7d13.27pt
Change 1h-43.60pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4d 11h.

Time to resolve4d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth